Ok, reality break time. It seems every week we need it more.
So last week my lock of the week pushed (Chicago beat Minnesota by 3). I will claim that the guarantee was not to lose and thus it was indeed a 'lock.' We won't talk about my upset of the week. Overall, solid at 8-4-2.
Week 4
Indy -9 at Jets
It's a lot of points and the Jets have played well, but their pass defense is ranked 27th so I look for Indy to run it up.
San Diego -2.5 at Baltimore.
Baltimore will be exposed Sunday. You can take that to the bank.
Buff -1 vs Minn.
J.P. Losman this week: "You guys don't understand. We don't care what you are saying, what people are saying about our team, whether it's good or bad. We don't read it. We don't care. It doesn't matter to us. We're going to play hard every week and prepare to win every week no matter what it is. We're going to play hard..." Convinced me
Tenn (-9.5) vs Dallas
Dallas needs more distractions.
SF +7 at KC
I just don't believe KC is a very good team and a touchdown is too much for them to cover.
Car. -7 vs NO
Let down for NO. Last week's win saved Carolina's season. I think they'll take advantage and win this one big.
Atl -7 vs Arz.
How can you pick Arizona after last week's debacle? And many believe Atlanta played dead last week.
Miami -3.5 at Houston
Only because Houston looked so bad last week.
StL -5.5 vs Detroit
Detroit scores 56 points ... in Roy Williams' mind. In reality they score a touchdown or two and lose to the Rams.
Cinn. +6 vs NE
I've heard that NE's 'pride' will keep this game close. That and 10$ will get you a coffee at Starbucks.
Jax (-3) at Wash
I don't like the Skins chances here. Don't like 'em at all.
Clev. (-2.5) at Oak.
Who will be able to sleep tonight with a game like this on Sunday?
Chi (- 3.5) vs Seat.
Seems strange that after that offensive explosion last week Seattle comes in as 3 1/2 point dogs, especially after Chicago's lucky win last week. But on Sunday night at home and with Alexander out, I think the Bears win by 6.
Phil (-10.5) vs GB
The game is over by the half. GB will only cover with some late meaningless scores, but you can't call that.
Last week 8-4 -2
Overall 28-16-2
(63.6% vs spread)


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